CHRW · C.H. Robinson Worldwide, Inc. — research history
Complete research history. Every dossier, draft, kill, publish, and lesson the system has produced on CHRW. Public so users can audit, AI can re-reference. Live price refreshes every 60s.
About CHRW · C.H. Robinson Worldwide, Inc.
C.H. Robinson Worldwide, Inc., together with its subsidiaries, provides freight transportation and related logistics and supply chain services in the United States and internationally. It operates in two segments, North American Surface Transportation and Global Forwarding. The company offers transportation and logistics services, such as truckload; less than truckload transportation brokerage services, which include the shipment of single or multiple pallets of freight; intermodal transportation that comprises the shipment service of freight in containers or trailers by a combination of truck and rail; and non-vessel operating common carrier and freight forwarding services, as well as organizes indirect air carrier and freight forwarder providing door-to-door services. It also provides customs brokerage services; and other logistics services, such as fee-based managed, warehousing, supply chain consulting and optimization services, and other services. In addition, the company is involved in the buying, selling, and/or marketing of fresh fruits, vegetables, and other value-added perishable items under the Robinson Fresh trade name. Further, the company offers transportation management and other surface transportation services. It provides fresh produce to grocery retailers, restaurants, produce wholesalers. C.H. Robinson Worldwide, Inc. was founded in 1905 and is headquartered in Eden Prairie, Minnesota.
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HOLD (score +3) · 12-1 mom 88.9% · RSI 46 · above_both · -10.8% from high
Targets blend Wall Street consensus (24 analysts: low $90.00 / mean $197.04 / high $230.00) with chart-derived floors and ceilings.
1-Year Chart · RSI · MACD
Research Timeline
Newest first. Each entry shows what stage produced it, the verdict/decision, and the reasoning.
Score of 19 fails the <45 skip threshold. The dossier flags dilution and customer concentration; while the recent RSU grant is standard executive comp and not material dilution, concentration risk remains unquantified. Combined with premium valuation (EV/EBITDA ~27x vs ~15x for peers), lack of insider accumulation, and missing FCF/ROIC data, there is no compelling mispricing or asymmetric catalyst to justify a recommendation, aligning with Scout's range-bound verdict.
Score of 19 fails the <45 skip threshold. The dossier flags dilution and customer concentration; while the recent RSU grant is standard executive comp and not material dilution, concentration risk remains unquantified. Combined with premium valuation (EV/EBITDA ~27x vs ~15x for peers), lack of insider accumulation, and missing FCF/ROIC data, there is no compelling mispricing or asymmetric catalyst to justify a recommendation, aligning with Scout's range-bound verdict.
C.H. Robinson is a large-cap freight broker and logistics intermediary with strong earnings beat history (+7-12% vs estimates in recent 4 quarters) and a newly launched AI platform (Lean AI Engineer) that could drive productivity gains in its 4PL managed services business. The stock has had an exceptional run (~42% YTD) from ~$132 to ~$188, approaching but not quite at the 52-week high of $203.34. Open-market insider buying is thin — only one confirmed open-market purchase (Michael Castagnetto, President-NAST, $100K on Feb 12 at $168.24); everything else in the last 90 days is RSU vesting or equity grants. The stock sits near full valuation with a forward P/E of ~26x and elevated EV/EBITDA of ~27x. Jefferies upgraded to Buy (target $200) and UBS raised to $230 on June 1. The July 29 earnings report represents the next known catalyst, but upside from current levels appears limited for a new long position without an outsized AI-driven beat.
Triggered anti-signal gates for customer concentration and low liquidity. Additionally, the dossier explicitly notes a lack of material mispricing with only ~10% consensus upside, failing the 20% edge threshold, and the composite score is well below publication thresholds.
CHRW is an integrated freight brokerage and logistics company trading at $178.52 (12% below 52-week high of $203.34) with a forward P/E of ~24x on ~17-20% EPS growth in a flat-revenue environment — margin expansion story. Q1 2026 beat was solid (+9.6% surprise), Jefferies recently upgraded to Buy ($200 target, +12%). The Montgomery SCOTUS ruling is a regulatory catalyst that could accelerate freight brokerage consolidation, favoring large-scale players like CHRW. No open-market insider purchases were found in the past 90 days — recent Form 4s reflect equity compensation grants (RSU vesting), not directional bets by management. Options flow shows bullish bias (+87% net call notional) and high OI at $185/$200 calls suggests elevated premium but no alarming asymmetric positioning. The stock has run +34% YTD, is near 52-week highs with IV in the 39-51% range — attractive for covered-call or strangle income rather than a fresh directional long.
{"symbol":"CHRW","company":"C.H. Robinson Worldwide, Inc.","investigation_summary":"CHRW is a ~$20B market cap global freight brokerage and logistics provider facing a credible long-term disruption threat from Amazon's May 2026 launch of Amazon Supply Chain Services (SCS). The triggering 8-K was entirely routine — the May 7 annual shareholder meeting with director elections, exec comp approval, De