JD · JD.com, Inc. — research history
Complete research history. Every dossier, draft, kill, publish, and lesson the system has produced on JD. Public so users can audit, AI can re-reference. Live price refreshes every 60s.
About JD · JD.com, Inc.
JD.com, Inc. operates as a supply chain-based technology and service provider in the People's Republic of China and Europe. It operates through three segments: JD Retail, JD Logistics, and New Businesses. The company provides home appliances; mobile handsets and other digital products; computers, including desktop, laptop, and other various products, as well as printers and other office equipment; furniture and household goods; apparel; cosmetics and other personal care items; and pet products. It offers women's shoes, bags, watches, jewelry, and luxury goods; men's shoes, sports gear, and fitness equipment; automobiles and accessories; maternal and childcare products; toys and musical instruments; food, beverages, and fresh produce; gifts, flowers, and plants; and pharmaceutical and healthcare products, such as OCT pharmaceutical products, nutritional supplements, healthcare services, and other healthcare equipment. In addition, the company provides books, e-books, music, movies, and other media products; virtual goods consisting of online travel agency, attraction tickets, and prepaid phone cards and game cards; industrial products; and installation and maintenance services. Further, it offers online marketplace services for third-party merchants; marketing services; and omni-channel solutions to customers and offline retailers, as well as online healthcare services. Additionally, the company develops, owns, and manages its logistics facilities and other real estate properties to support third parties; and offers asset management services and integrated service platform; leasing of storage facilities and related management services, as well as engages in online retail business; technology-driven supply chain solutions; and logistics services. The company was formerly known as 360buy Jingdong Inc. and changed its name to JD.com, Inc. in January 2014. JD.com, Inc. was incorporated in 2006 and is headquartered in Beijing, the People's Republic of China.
Live Quote
SELL (score -4) · 12-1 mom -3.4% · RSI 28.1 · below_both · -27.8% from high
Targets blend Wall Street consensus (36 analysts: low $26.95 / mean $41.10 / high $60.91) with chart-derived floors and ceilings.
1-Year Chart · RSI · MACD
Research Timeline
Newest first. Each entry shows what stage produced it, the verdict/decision, and the reasoning.
Anti-signals (litigation, concentration) are present and unmitigated. The dossier shows absent smart money, bearish options positioning, and a recent earnings miss that breaks the surprise streak, making this a structural discount rather than a tradable setup.
Anti-signals (litigation, concentration) are present and unmitigated. The dossier shows absent smart money, bearish options positioning, and a recent earnings miss that breaks the surprise streak, making this a structural discount rather than a tradable setup.
JD.com is deeply discounted on every traditional metric — forward P/E of 6.45x, EV/EBITDA of 1.28 — following a -19.71% YTD decline that has pushed it to ~24% below its 52-week high. Recent Q1 2026 EPS beat by +40.75%, consecutive prior beats, and strong earnings growth guidance for FY26 (+25%) provide a genuine recovery narrative. However, three significant headwinds cloud the picture: (1) Chinese regulators publicly rebuked JD and Alibaba on June 11-15 for misleading discount practices during the 618 festival — fresh regulatory risk on JD's core promotional playbook; (2) put/call ratio is elevated at 1.58 with net -$14,810 dollar bias toward puts, indicating informed bearish positioning; (3) insider Form 4 activity over the past 90 days shows only RSU vestings and no genuine open-market cash purchases — founders are receiving equity compensation, not buying shares with personal capital. The trigger news about Alibaba's Pupu bid raises competitive intensity in JD's local commerce segment but does not directly change JD's valuation.
Composite score of 21 falls well below the 45 threshold. Active anti-signal gates for dilution and concentration, combined with bearish technicals, absent smart-money conviction, and mixed earnings surprise history, prevent this dossier from clearing the publication bar.
JD.com is a deeply out-of-favor Chinese e-commerce and supply chain giant trading at ~22% below its 52-week high with an extraordinarily low forward P/E of 6.59 and EV/EBITDA of 1.35 — pricing that implies significant China ADR risk premium. Recent Q1 FY2026 EPS beat was +41%, and the DeepSeek investment angle and Ceconomy deal (EU probe) are live catalysts ahead of August 11 earnings. The options flow shows strong 69% net dollar call bias with two whale blocks at $28 and $30 strikes — but these were modest in notional ($181K and $93K). All recent Form 4 filings represent RSU vesting events, not open-market purchases, so there is no genuine insider buy signal. Technicals are bearish (below both MAs, MACD bear cross, RSI 40.5). The mispricing case exists but lacks a strong catalyst certainty; the stock has been in a structural downtrend from macro/China sentiment rather than fundamentals deterioration.
{"symbol":"JD","company":"JD.com, Inc.","investigation_summary":"JD.com presents a curious case: extremely cheap valuation (7.5x forward P/E, ~$32 price vs $41 analyst target) with strong recent earnings momentum (Q1 beat +40%), but the investigation trigger is thin — a Mastercard partnership announcement from mid-May that is largely noise in isolation. The more substantive catalyst is Nvidia H200
Composite score of 34 falls well below the 60 threshold. Quality metrics are weak (ROIC 7.6%, negative FCF) and there is zero insider buying. While valuation compression and options flow are notable, they do not overcome the structural margin headwinds, tepid revenue growth (~5%), and unresolved anti-signal gates (dilution/concentration) that flag this as a value trap rather than a tradable thesis.
JD just reported Q1 2026 earnings today (May 12) beating estimates by 41% on EPS ($5.12 actual vs $3.64 est). Forward P/E of 7.5x and EV/EBITDA of 3.4x represent extreme valuation compression relative to global e-commerce peers, driven by China ADR risk discount. The options flow showing 74% net call dollar bias with three OTM whale blocks corroborates bullish positioning. However, revenue growth is tepid at ~5%, the company operates at a thin operating margin (~-1%), and macro risks (China-US tensions, consumer weakness, tariff exposure) are material. No insider open-market buys were confirmed in recent filings; Form 4s from April 2026 could not be decoded to confirm direction. The valuation is compelling but requires a catalyst — Beijing's subsidy program for electronics/appliances trade-ins is the most named near-term lever.