{ "model": "minimax/minimax-m2.7", "started_at": "2026-05-30T19:58:29.001Z", "system_prompt": "You are Catalyst Scout — the dated-binary-event research stage.\n\nYour job is fundamentally different from regular Scout (multi-quarter\nasymmetric long) and Wheel Scout (income/premium harvest). You investigate\na KNOWN UPCOMING EVENT: earnings print, FDA action date, merger close, trial\nreadout, regulatory ruling, shareholder vote. You output a dossier focused\non the EVENT, not the company's multi-year thesis.\n\nWhat makes a catalyst trade work:\n - The event is DATED and BINARY (resolves on a known date with two\n materially different outcomes)\n - Implied move (options-market priced) differs from historical realized\n move at this event type for this name\n - Structure is DEFINED-RISK (debit) so max loss = premium paid\n\nINVESTIGATION CHECKLIST (cover everything; stop early only if a fatal flag):\n\n □ Confirm the catalyst exists and date.\n - For earnings triggers: use earnings(ticker). Confirm next print date.\n - For 8-K triggers: use edgar_filing_text on the trigger filing URL.\n Read it and find the actual event date if stated.\n □ news_for_symbol(ticker, '30d') — any analyst revisions, pre-announce\n leaks, or competing news that frames direction?\n □ technicals(ticker), price_history(ticker, 90) — what's the stock done\n into this event? Is it priced for a beat or a miss?\n □ fundamentals(ticker) — quality floor check. Market cap, profitability,\n going-concern flags. Reject sub-$500M cap or sub-$5 price.\n □ options_expiries(ticker) — find an expiry that lands JUST AFTER the\n catalyst date. Ideal: catalyst date + 1-7 days. Reject if no expiry\n within 14 days of catalyst.\n □ options_chain(ticker, expiry, strikes_around=15) — pull strikes around\n current price. Identify ATM straddle for implied-move calc.\n □ options_flow(ticker) — directional flow into the event?\n □ edgar_form4_insiders(ticker) — any insider P-buys (real trades) inside\n the last 90 days? Directional signal.\n\nKEY CALCULATIONS YOU MUST MAKE:\n\n - Implied move (%) = (ATM call mid + ATM put mid) / spot * 100\n This is what the options market is pricing for the catalyst.\n\n - Historical realized move (%): for earnings, average abs(1-day %\n move) across the last 4-8 earnings dates (use price_history around\n the dates from earnings(ticker).history). For other catalysts,\n note \"no historical baseline\" and rely on options skew.\n\n - Magnitude edge: implied vs historical. If implied > realized by ≥30%,\n market is overpaying vol → favor LONG-direction debit spreads (cheaper\n than a naked option because vol is rich). If implied < realized by\n ≥30%, market is under-pricing → favor straddles / long premium.\n\n - Direction lean: list each direction signal you found:\n insider_buys: yes/no, recent_analyst_revisions: up/down/mixed,\n technical_setup: bullish/bearish/neutral, options_skew: call_skew_pct\n above puts, news_sentiment: positive/negative/mixed.\n If ≥3 align same direction → directional structure (long_call OR\n long_put OR debit_spread on that side).\n If signals are mixed → straddle (long both wings).\n\nFORM 4 DISCIPLINE:\n Do not count Form 4 filings as insider buying unless you fetch the filing\n text and verify transaction code \"P\" with cash price paid above $0. Code A\n grants, Code F tax withholding, Code G gifts, option exercises, RSU/PSU\n vesting, and $0 acquisitions are NOT insider buys. If you cannot verify\n Code P, set direction_signals.insider_buys_90d to \"no\" or \"unknown\" and do\n not use insider activity as a bullish signal.\n\nVERDICT VOCABULARY — pick exactly one:\n\n catalyst_setup — Event confirmed, structure recommendation supported\n by edge or direction. Pipeline continues to Analyst.\n no_setup — One of: catalyst can't be confirmed; >45 DTE; <7 DTE;\n sub-$500M cap; sub-$5 price; no expiry near catalyst;\n options illiquid (OI <200 on chosen strikes); no\n magnitude edge AND no direction lean.\n\nOUTPUT FORMAT (strict JSON, output ONLY this object — no prose, no fences):\n\n{\n \"symbol\": \"NVDA\",\n \"company\": \"NVIDIA Corporation\",\n \"investigation_summary\": \"100-300 word summary of the catalyst setup\",\n \"verdict\": \"catalyst_setup\" | \"no_setup\",\n \"confidence_in_data\": 1-5,\n \"catalyst\": {\n \"type\": \"earnings\" | \"fda_pdufa\" | \"fda_phase3\" | \"fda_data\" | \"fda_approval\" | \"merger_definitive\" | \"merger_announcement\" | \"spinoff\" | \"regulatory_settlement\" | \"corporate_action\",\n \"date\": \"YYYY-MM-DD\",\n \"dte\": ,\n \"binary\": true | false,\n \"outcome_scenarios\": [\"beat → +X%\", \"miss → -Y%\"]\n },\n \"implied_vs_realized\": {\n \"implied_move_pct\": ,\n \"historical_avg_move_pct\": ,\n \"n_historical_events\": ,\n \"magnitude_edge_note\": \"...\"\n },\n \"direction_signals\": {\n \"insider_buys_90d\": \"yes\" | \"no\" | \"unknown\",\n \"analyst_revisions_30d\": \"up\" | \"down\" | \"mixed\" | \"none\",\n \"technical_setup\": \"bullish\" | \"bearish\" | \"neutral\",\n \"options_skew\": \"call_skew\" | \"put_skew\" | \"flat\",\n \"news_sentiment\": \"positive\" | \"negative\" | \"mixed\" | \"neutral\",\n \"direction_lean\": \"bullish\" | \"bearish\" | \"neutral\"\n },\n \"structure_recommendation\": \"long_call\" | \"long_put\" | \"straddle\" | \"debit_call_spread\" | \"debit_put_spread\",\n \"candidate_contracts\": [\n {\n \"structure\": \"long_call\" | etc,\n \"expiry\": \"YYYY-MM-DD\",\n \"dte\": ,\n \"long_strike\": ,\n \"short_strike\": ,\n \"long_mid\": ,\n \"short_mid\": ,\n \"net_debit\": ,\n \"max_payoff\": ,\n \"breakeven\": ,\n \"breakeven_distance_pct\": ,\n \"open_interest_long\": ,\n \"open_interest_short\": ,\n \"bid_ask_spread_pct\": \n }\n ],\n \"quality_floor\": {\n \"market_cap\": ,\n \"price\": ,\n \"going_concern\": false | true,\n \"passes_floor\": true | false\n },\n \"anti_signals_present\": [],\n \"key_risks\": [\"...\"],\n \"sources\": [{\"label\":\"...\",\"url\":\"https://...\"}]\n}\n\nBe ruthlessly skeptical. If the catalyst date is not confirmable, set\nverdict='no_setup'. If options on the post-catalyst expiry are illiquid\n(OI<200), no_setup. If quality_floor.passes_floor is false, no_setup. If\nthe implied move can't be calculated (no ATM straddle available), no_setup.\nDefault is no_setup; catalyst trades require a confirmed dated event AND\neither a magnitude edge OR a direction lean.", "user_prompt": "SYMBOL: CGC\nINVESTIGATION TRIGGER: [catalyst_earnings] earnings 2026-06-15 (16 DTE)\n\nQUEUE META (from catalyst-hunter):\n{\n \"catalyst_type\": \"earnings\",\n \"catalyst_date\": \"2026-06-15\",\n \"filing_url\": null,\n \"context_snippet\": null\n}\n\nInvestigate this symbol for a dated-event trade. Confirm the catalyst exists,\ncompute the implied-vs-realized magnitude edge, identify direction signals,\nand recommend a defined-risk debit structure with specific strikes and an\nexpiry just after the catalyst date. Output ONLY the JSON object.\nDo NOT include ... blocks — pure JSON only.", "completions": [ { "ts": "2026-05-30T19:58:46.382Z", "raw_content": "Let me investigate Canopy Growth (CGC) for their upcoming earnings on 2026-06-15. I need to:\n\n1. Confirm the catalyst exists and date\n2. Get news sentiment\n3. Get technicals and price history\n4. Check fundamentals\n5. Find options expiring just after June 15, 2026 (so June 20, 2026 or similar)\n6. Pull options chain for that expiry\n7. Get options flow data\n8. Check Form 4 insider activity\n\nLet me start with multiple parallel calls.\n\n\n\n", "cleaned_content": "", "tool_calls": [ { "type": "function", "id": "679471214", "function": { "name": "earnings", "arguments": "{\"ticker\":\"CGC\"}" } }, { "type": "function", "id": "319532148", "function": { "name": "news_for_symbol", "arguments": "{\"ticker\":\"CGC\",\"since\":\"30d\"}" } }, { "type": "function", "id": "182689451", "function": { "name": "technicals", "arguments": "{\"ticker\":\"CGC\"}" } }, { "type": "function", "id": "596086964", "function": { "name": "fundamentals", "arguments": "{\"ticker\":\"CGC\"}" } } ], "finish_reason": "tool_calls" }, { "ts": "2026-05-30T19:59:14.062Z", "raw_content": "Let me analyze the data collected so far:\n\n1. **Catalyst confirmed**: Earnings on 2026-06-15 at 12:30 PM ET - CONFIRMED\n2. Current date context (from queue meta): 16 DTE\n\nNow let me check:\n- Options expiries near catalyst date\n- Price history for historical realized moves\n- Insider activity\n\nMarket cap is ~$489M, which is below $500M threshold but the system says sub-$500M cap should be rejected. Wait, it's $489M - that's below $500M. However, let me double check... Actually the task instruction says \"Reject sub-$500M cap\" - this one barely makes it at $489M but that might technically fail.\n\n\nPrice is at $1.09 and has fallen to $0.844 year-low with a 52-week range of $0.84-$2.38, so it's well below the $5 threshold required for trading.\n\nNow I need to check options expiries and pull historical price data around earnings dates.\n\n\n\n", "cleaned_content": "", "tool_calls": [ { "type": "function", "id": "935896464", "function": { "name": "options_expiries", "arguments": "{\"ticker\":\"CGC\"}" } }, { "type": "function", "id": "591133247", "function": { "name": "price_history", "arguments": "{\"ticker\":\"CGC\",\"days\":90}" } }, { "type": "function", "id": "394132672", "function": { "name": "edgar_form4_insiders", "arguments": "{\"ticker\":\"CGC\",\"limit\":20}" } } ], "finish_reason": "tool_calls" }, { "ts": "2026-05-30T19:59:50.763Z", "raw_content": "Let me analyze the Form 4 filings to check for Code P (purchases). The filings show insider activity, but I need to look at specific transaction codes. Let me fetch a couple of these filings to check their transaction codes.\n\nThe most recent ones are from April 2, 2026 (report date March 31) and February 12, 2026. Let me check the filing texts.\n\n\n\n", "cleaned_content": "", "tool_calls": [ { "type": "function", "id": "468948718", "function": { "name": "options_chain", "arguments": "{\"ticker\":\"CGC\",\"expiry\":\"2026-06-18\",\"strikes_around\":25}" } }, { "type": "function", "id": "330989456", "function": { "name": "edgar_filing_text", "arguments": "{\"filing_url\":\"https://www.sec.gov/Archives/edgar/data/1737927/0001104659-26-039179/xslF345X06/tm2611026-4_4seq1.xml\",\"max_chars\":15000}" } } ], "finish_reason": "tool_calls" }, { "ts": "2026-05-30T20:00:05.571Z", "raw_content": "Let me get a broader options chain to find ATM strikes. The $1 strike is just below the spot of $1.09.\n\n\n\n", "cleaned_content": "", "tool_calls": [ { "type": "function", "id": "256831858", "function": { "name": "options_chain", "arguments": "{\"ticker\":\"CGC\",\"expiry\":\"2026-06-18\",\"strikes_around\":40}" } }, { "type": "function", "id": "633159984", "function": { "name": "edgar_filing_text", "arguments": "{\"filing_url\":\"https://www.sec.gov/Archives/edgar/data/1737927/0001104659-26-039166/xslF345X06/tm2611026-1_4seq1.xml\",\"max_chars\":15000}" } } ], "finish_reason": "tool_calls" }, { "ts": "2026-05-30T20:00:19.213Z", "raw_content": "Let me try some other Form 4 URLs to verify insider transactions. The filing URLs don't seem accessible directly, but I should check if there are any other URL formats.\n\n\n\n", "cleaned_content": "", "tool_calls": [ { "type": "function", "id": "580297173", "function": { "name": "edgar_filing_text", "arguments": "{\"filing_url\":\"https://www.sec.gov/cgi-bin/browse-edgar?action=getcompany&CIK=0001737927&type=4&dateb=&owner=include&count=10\",\"max_chars\":10000}" } } ], "finish_reason": "tool_calls" }, { "ts": "2026-05-30T20:00:27.575Z", "raw_content": "Let me try to access one of these Form 4 filings through a different URL. The SEC sometimes changes filing URLs. Let me try accessing via indexUrl.\n\n\n\n", "cleaned_content": "", "tool_calls": [ { "type": "function", "id": "878607871", "function": { "name": "edgar_filing_text", "arguments": "{\"filing_url\":\"https://www.sec.gov/cgi-bin/browse-edgar?action=getcompany&CIK=0001737927&type=4&dateb=&owner=include&count=10&start=0\",\"max_chars\":15000}" } } ], "finish_reason": "tool_calls" }, { "ts": "2026-05-30T20:01:04.047Z", "raw_content": "The SEC pages are returning HTML but not the actual filing content. Let me try using a known recent 8-K filing to see what kind of news might be available, and also check for insider activity through the news.\n\nActually, given that CGC is below $5 (price ~$1.09), this fails the quality_floor check: \"sub-$5 price → reject.\" Let me reconsider...\n\nWait, re-reading my instructions:\n\n\"fundamentals(ticker) — quality floor check. Market cap, profitability,\n going-concern flags. Reject sub-$500M cap or sub-$5 price.\"\n\nCGC has:\n- market_cap: ~$489M → below $500M threshold ❌\n\n\n- price: $1.09 → below $5 threshold ❌\n\nBoth checks fail, which means no_setup regardless of other factors.\n\nThe options chain is also severely constrained—only two strikes available ($1 and $1.5), with the ATM $1 call trading at just $0.15 mid on wide spreads, and no standard ATM straddle to calculate implied move. This compounds with the quality floor rejection for a definitive no_setup verdict.\n\n\nBased on my investigation, CGC fails multiple critical checkpoints:\n\n- **Price = $1.09** → below $5 quality_floor threshold\n- **Market cap ≈ $489M** → below $500M quality_floor threshold \n- Only 2 strikes available ($1 and $1.50) with severely limited liquidity (OI <250 on most)\n- No viable ATM straddle to calculate implied move\n\nThis triggers a mandatory `no_setup` verdict.\n\n{\"symbol\":\"CGC\",\"company\":\"Canopy Growth Corporation\",\"investigation_summary\":\"CGC fails the quality floor check at two levels: price of $1.09 is below the $5 minimum, and market cap of ~$489M is below the $500M threshold. The June 15 earnings catalyst is confirmed (Q4 FY2026 results), but the options chain is severely constrained — only two strikes ($1.00 ITM call and $1.50 OTM) are available on the nearest expiry (June 18). This makes an ATM straddle impossible to construct, preventing any implied-vs-realized magnitude calculation. The company has a going-concern risk (negative FCF of -$26M TTM), negative EPS history, and is currently restating two years of financials — a significant red flag for binary earnings resolution. With mixed direction signals (no confirmed Code-P insider buys in the last 90 days; stock below its 200-DMA) and no liquid options structure within DTE parameters, this name cannot support a defined-risk catalyst trade.\",\"verdict\":\"no_setup\",\"confidence_in_data\":4,\"catalyst\":{\"type\":\"earnings\",\"date\":\"2026-06-15\",\"dte\":16,\"binary\":true,\"outcome_scenarios\":[\"beat → modest upside (+5-15%)\",\"miss → significant downside (-10-25% given restatement risk)\"]},\"implied_vs_realized\":{\"implied_move_pct\":null,\"historical_avg_move_pct\":null,\"n_historical_events\":4,\"magnitude_edge_note\":\"Cannot compute — no ATM straddle available. Only $1 and $1.50 strikes exist; spot at $1.09 means the chain is non-standard for straddles.\"},\"direction_signals\":{\"insider_buys_90d\":\"unknown\",\"analyst_revisions_30d\":\"none\",\"technical_setup\":\"bearish\",\"options_skew\":\"flat\",\"news_sentiment\":\"mixed\",\"direction_lean\":\"neutral\"},\"structure_recommendation\":null,\"candidate_contracts\":[],\"quality_floor\":{\"market_cap\":489497760,\"price\":1.09,\"going_concern\":true,\"passes_floor\":false},\"anti_signals_present\":[\"price < $5 (fails floor)\",\"market cap < $500M (fails floor)\",\"financial restatement in progress\",\"no liquid ATM options chain\",\"negative EPS history with large surprises\",\"high debt-to-equity (33.65)\"],\"key_risks\":[\"Two-year financial restatement pending — earnings could be delayed or severely revised\",\"Only 2 option strikes available on nearest expiry, no ATM straddle constructible\",\"Going-concern risk given persistent negative FCF and profitability issues\",\"Binary event with potentially asymmetric outcomes not captured by illiquid options\"],\"sources\":[{\"label\":\"earnings()\",\"url\":\"\"},{\"label\":\"fundamentals()\",\"url\":\"\"},{\"label\":\"news_for_symbol 30d\",\"url\":\"\"},{\"label\":\"technicals()\",\"url\":\"\"}]}", "cleaned_content": "Based on my investigation, CGC fails multiple critical checkpoints:\n\n- **Price = $1.09** → below $5 quality_floor threshold\n- **Market cap ≈ $489M** → below $500M quality_floor threshold \n- Only 2 strikes available ($1 and $1.50) with severely limited liquidity (OI <250 on most)\n- No viable ATM straddle to calculate implied move\n\nThis triggers a mandatory `no_setup` verdict.\n\n{\"symbol\":\"CGC\",\"company\":\"Canopy Growth Corporation\",\"investigation_summary\":\"CGC fails the quality floor check at two levels: price of $1.09 is below the $5 minimum, and market cap of ~$489M is below the $500M threshold. The June 15 earnings catalyst is confirmed (Q4 FY2026 results), but the options chain is severely constrained — only two strikes ($1.00 ITM call and $1.50 OTM) are available on the nearest expiry (June 18). This makes an ATM straddle impossible to construct, preventing any implied-vs-realized magnitude calculation. The company has a going-concern risk (negative FCF of -$26M TTM), negative EPS history, and is currently restating two years of financials — a significant red flag for binary earnings resolution. With mixed direction signals (no confirmed Code-P insider buys in the last 90 days; stock below its 200-DMA) and no liquid options structure within DTE parameters, this name cannot support a defined-risk catalyst trade.\",\"verdict\":\"no_setup\",\"confidence_in_data\":4,\"catalyst\":{\"type\":\"earnings\",\"date\":\"2026-06-15\",\"dte\":16,\"binary\":true,\"outcome_scenarios\":[\"beat → modest upside (+5-15%)\",\"miss → significant downside (-10-25% given restatement risk)\"]},\"implied_vs_realized\":{\"implied_move_pct\":null,\"historical_avg_move_pct\":null,\"n_historical_events\":4,\"magnitude_edge_note\":\"Cannot compute — no ATM straddle available. Only $1 and $1.50 strikes exist; spot at $1.09 means the chain is non-standard for straddles.\"},\"direction_signals\":{\"insider_buys_90d\":\"unknown\",\"analyst_revisions_30d\":\"none\",\"technical_setup\":\"bearish\",\"options_skew\":\"flat\",\"news_sentiment\":\"mixed\",\"direction_lean\":\"neutral\"},\"structure_recommendation\":null,\"candidate_contracts\":[],\"quality_floor\":{\"market_cap\":489497760,\"price\":1.09,\"going_concern\":true,\"passes_floor\":false},\"anti_signals_present\":[\"price < $5 (fails floor)\",\"market cap < $500M (fails floor)\",\"financial restatement in progress\",\"no liquid ATM options chain\",\"negative EPS history with large surprises\",\"high debt-to-equity (33.65)\"],\"key_risks\":[\"Two-year financial restatement pending — earnings could be delayed or severely revised\",\"Only 2 option strikes available on nearest expiry, no ATM straddle constructible\",\"Going-concern risk given persistent negative FCF and profitability issues\",\"Binary event with potentially asymmetric outcomes not captured by illiquid options\"],\"sources\":[{\"label\":\"earnings()\",\"url\":\"\"},{\"label\":\"fundamentals()\",\"url\":\"\"},{\"label\":\"news_for_symbol 30d\",\"url\":\"\"},{\"label\":\"technicals()\",\"url\":\"\"}]}", "tool_calls": [], "finish_reason": "stop" } ], "tool_results": [ { "idx": 1, "name": "earnings", "args": { "ticker": "CGC" }, "result_first_8k": "{\"symbol\":\"CGC\",\"next_earnings_dates\":[\"2026-06-15T12:30:00.000Z\"],\"next_revenue_estimate_avg\":74356600,\"history\":[{\"quarter\":\"2025-03-31\",\"period\":\"-4q\",\"eps_estimate\":-0.205,\"eps_actual\":-1.3232,\"surprise_pct\":-5.4546003},{\"quarter\":\"2025-06-30\",\"period\":\"-3q\",\"eps_estimate\":-0.12,\"eps_actual\":-0.1932,\"surprise_pct\":-0.61},{\"quarter\":\"2025-09-30\",\"period\":\"-2q\",\"eps_estimate\":-0.11,\"eps_actual\":0.003,\"surprise_pct\":1.0273},{\"quarter\":\"2025-12-31\",\"period\":\"-1q\",\"eps_estimate\":-0.05,\"eps_actual\":-0.1416,\"surprise_pct\":-1.832}],\"trend\":[{\"period\":\"0q\",\"end_date\":\"2026-03-31T00:00:00.000Z\",\"growth\":null,\"eps_avg\":-0.085,\"rev_avg\":74356600},{\"period\":\"+1q\",\"end_date\":\"2026-06-30T00:00:00.000Z\",\"growth\":null,\"eps_avg\":-0.07667,\"rev_avg\":87739800},{\"period\":\"0y\",\"end_date\":\"2026-03-31T00:00:00.000Z\",\"growth\":null,\"eps_avg\":-0.472,\"rev_avg\":287615000},{\"period\":\"+1y\",\"end_date\":\"2027-03-31T00:00:00.000Z\",\"growth\":null,\"eps_avg\":-0.256,\"rev_avg\":367775400}]}", "full_size": 966, "error": false }, { "idx": 2, "name": "news_for_symbol", "args": { "ticker": "CGC", "since": "30d" }, "result_first_8k": "{\"count\":19,\"items\":[{\"title\":\"Canopy Growth Relaunches Tweed Brand in Germany with New MTL Cannabis Strain Lineup, Marking First International Release following Acquisition\",\"link\":\"https://finance.yahoo.com/sectors/healthcare/articles/canopy-growth-relaunches-tweed-brand-110000343.html?.tsrc=rss\",\"pubDate\":\"2026-05-29T11:00:00.000Z\",\"source\":\"Yahoo! Finance: CGC News\",\"summary\":\"SMITH FALLS, Ontario, May 29, 2026--Canopy Growth Corporation (\\\"Canopy Growth\\\" or the \\\"Company\\\") (TSX: WEED) (Nasdaq: CGC) today announced the relaunch of the Tweed brand in the German medical market, alongside the introduction of three cannabis strains developed by MTL Cannabis Corp. (\\\"MTL\\\"), a wholly-owned subsidiary of the Company. The dual milestone represents the Company’s first international product release following its recent acquisition of MTL.\"},{\"title\":\"Canopy Growth Corporation (CGC) Exceeds Market Returns: Some Facts to Consider\",\"link\":\"https://finance.yahoo.com/markets/stocks/articles/canopy-growth-corporation-cgc-exceeds-215002991.html?.tsrc=rss\",\"pubDate\":\"2026-05-27T21:50:02.000Z\",\"source\":\"Yahoo! Finance: CGC News\",\"summary\":\"In the latest trading session, Canopy Growth Corporation (CGC) closed at $1.07, marking a +1.9% move from the previous day.\"},{\"title\":\"Canopy Growth Is Restating Two Years of Financials Before June 15 Earnings -- Here's What CGC Investors Need to Know Right Now\",\"link\":\"https://www.fool.com/investing/2026/05/22/canopy-growth-is-restating-two-years-of-financials/?.tsrc=rss\",\"pubDate\":\"2026-05-23T03:35:00.000Z\",\"source\":\"Yahoo! Finance: CGC News\",\"summary\":\"When a company restates its earnings, it often indicates mistakes were made, which can be a troubling issue for a penny stock.\"},{\"title\":\"Should You Buy CGC Stock After Marijuana Reclassification?\",\"link\":\"https://finance.yahoo.com/markets/stocks/articles/buy-cgc-stock-marijuana-reclassification-121900234.html?.tsrc=rss\",\"pubDate\":\"2026-05-22T12:19:00.000Z\",\"source\":\"Yahoo! Finance: CGC News\",\"summary\":\"Canopy Growth gains attention as marijuana reclassification boosts cannabis sentiment, but margin pressure and execution risks persist.\"},{\"title\":\"Canopy Growth's Stock Just Dropped -- Here's Why I'm Still Not Buying\",\"link\":\"https://www.fool.com/investing/2026/05/21/canopy-growth-stock-just-dropped-heres-why-im-stil/?.tsrc=rss\",\"pubDate\":\"2026-05-21T09:50:00.000Z\",\"source\":\"Yahoo! Finance: CGC News\",\"summary\":\"It's unfitting that the marijuana seller has \\\"growth\\\" in its name.\"},{\"title\":\"Canopy Growth Corporation (CGC) Is a Trending Stock: Facts to Know Before Betting on It\",\"link\":\"https://finance.yahoo.com/markets/stocks/articles/canopy-growth-corporation-cgc-trending-130004934.html?.tsrc=rss\",\"pubDate\":\"2026-05-20T13:00:04.000Z\",\"source\":\"Yahoo! Finance: CGC News\",\"summary\":\"Canopy Growth (CGC) has been one of the stocks most watched by Zacks.com users lately. So, it is worth exploring what lies ahead for the stock.\"},{\"title\":\"Why Canopy Growth Corporation (CGC) Dipped More Than Broader Market Today\",\"link\":\"https://finance.yahoo.com/markets/stocks/articles/why-canopy-growth-corporation-cgc-215002029.html?.tsrc=rss\",\"pubDate\":\"2026-05-18T21:50:02.000Z\",\"source\":\"Yahoo! Finance: CGC News\",\"summary\":\"Canopy Growth Corporation (CGC) closed the most recent trading day at $0.98, moving 5.55% from the previous trading session.\"},{\"title\":\"Cannabis Pharmaceuticals Business Research Report 2026: An $111.1 Billion Market by 2032 from $4.7 Billion in 2025 Featuring AbbVie, Aphria, Aurora Cannabis, Bausch Health, and Canopy Growth\",\"link\":\"https://finance.yahoo.com/sectors/healthcare/articles/cannabis-pharmaceuticals-business-research-report-090000270.html?.tsrc=rss\",\"pubDate\":\"2026-05-18T09:00:00.000Z\",\"source\":\"Yahoo! Finance: CGC News\",\"summary\":\"The cannabis pharmaceuticals market is poised for significant growth due to rising medical cannabis legalization, increasing R&D investment, and demand for alternative treatments. Key opportunities include advancements in cannabinoid research, therapeutic applications in chronic pain, neurological disorders, and mental health conditions, and the development of cannabis-based formulations driven by regulatory approvals and evolving healthcare systems. Cannabis Pharmaceuticals Market Cannabis Phar\"},{\"title\":\"Canopy Growth Provides Update on Financial Reporting and Announces Fourth Quarter and Fiscal Year 2026 Financial Results to be Presented on June 15, 2026\",\"link\":\"https://finance.yahoo.com/markets/stocks/articles/canopy-growth-provides-financial-reporting-210000242.html?.tsrc=rss\",\"pubDate\":\"2026-05-15T21:00:00.000Z\",\"source\":\"Yahoo! Finance: CGC News\",\"summary\":\"SMITHS FALLS, Ontario, May 15, 2026--Canopy Growth Corporation (\\\"Canopy Growth\\\" or the \\\"Company\\\") (TSX: WEED) (Nasdaq: CGC) expects to release its financial results for the quarter and fiscal year ended March 31, 2026 before financial markets open on June 15, 2026. The Company also announced it plans to file restated financial results for the fiscal years ended March 31, 2025 and March 31, 2024 and to certain of the interim periods therein (the \\\"Refiling\\\"), in conjunction with its filing of fina\"},{\"title\":\"Is Canopy Growth Stock Finally Setting Up for a Real Turnaround?\",\"link\":\"https://www.fool.com/investing/2026/05/15/is-canopy-growth-stock-finally-setting-up-for-a-re/?.tsrc=rss\",\"pubDate\":\"2026-05-15T16:50:00.000Z\",\"source\":\"Yahoo! Finance: CGC News\",\"summary\":\"The cannabis company has reduced debt and stacked up cash, but profitability remains elusive.\"},{\"title\":\"Illinois CancerCare, P.C. Partners with Canopy to Expand Patient Access and Care Between Visits\",\"link\":\"https://finance.yahoo.com/sectors/healthcare/articles/illinois-cancercare-p-c-partners-120000282.html?.tsrc=rss\",\"pubDate\":\"2026-05-14T12:00:00.000Z\",\"source\":\"Yahoo! Finance: CGC News\",\"summary\":\"Canopy, the leader in Enterprise AI for oncology, today announced a partnership with Illinois CancerCare, P.C., one of the largest community oncology and hematology practices in Illinois with 14 clinic locations. Illinois CancerCare will deploy Canopy's comprehensive platform, including Remote Therapeutic Monitoring and oncology-specific AI for patient services.\"},{\"title\":\"Canopy Growth Is One of the Market's Most Polarizing Stocks: 3 Scenarios for the Next 12 Months\",\"link\":\"https://www.fool.com/investing/2026/05/14/canopy-growth-is-one-of-the-markets-most-polarizin/?.tsrc=rss\",\"pubDate\":\"2026-05-14T10:35:00.000Z\",\"source\":\"Yahoo! Finance: CGC News\",\"summary\":\"After years of heavy losses and repeated restructurings, Canopy Growth is showing early signs of stabilization.\"},{\"title\":\"MacroGenics (MGNX) Reports Q1 Loss, Tops Revenue Estimates\",\"link\":\"https://finance.yahoo.com/sectors/healthcare/articles/macrogenics-mgnx-reports-q1-loss-213504625.html?.tsrc=rss\",\"pubDate\":\"2026-05-13T21:35:04.000Z\",\"source\":\"Yahoo! Finance: CGC News\",\"summary\":\"MacroGenics (MGNX) delivered earnings and revenue surprises of -1.75% and +12.83%, respectively, for the quarter ended March 2026. Do the numbers hold clues to what lies ahead for the stock?\"},{\"title\":\"Canopy Growth Corporation (CGC) Registers a Bigger Fall Than the Market: Important Facts to Note\",\"link\":\"https://finance.yahoo.com/news/canopy-growth-corporation-cgc-registers-215002043.html?.tsrc=rss\",\"pubDate\":\"2026-05-12T21:50:02.000Z\",\"source\":\"Yahoo! Finance: CGC News\",\"summary\":\"Canopy Growth Corporation (CGC) closed at $1.1 in the latest trading session, marking a -1.79% move from the prior day.\"},{\"title\":\"TriSalus Life Sciences, Inc. (TLSI) Reports Q1 Loss, Lags Revenue Estimates\",\"link\":\"https://finance.yahoo.com/news/trisalus-life-sciences-inc-tlsi-211502616.html?.tsrc=rss\",\"pubDate\":\"2026-05-12T21:15:02.000Z\",\"source\":\"Yahoo! Finance: CGC News\",\"summary\":\"TriSalus Life Sciences, Inc. (TLSI) delivered earnings and revenue surprises of +12.50% and -15.25%, respectively, for the quarter ended March 2026. Do the numbers hold clues to what lies ahead for the stock?\"},{\"title\":\"Canopy Growth and Spectrum Therapeutics Expand Medical Portfolio with New 30 and 90-Pack Softgels and Enhanced Dosing Options\",\"link\":\"https://finance.yahoo.com/sectors/h", "full_size": 10245, "error": false }, { "idx": 3, "name": "technicals", "args": { "ticker": "CGC" }, "result_first_8k": "{\"symbol\":\"CGC\",\"last_close\":1.09,\"ma_20\":1.08,\"ma_50\":1.07,\"ma_200\":1.21,\"above_50dma\":true,\"above_200dma\":false,\"ma_stack\":\"above_50_only\",\"rsi_14\":51.1,\"macd\":{\"macd\":-0.008,\"signal\":-0.012,\"histogram\":0.004,\"last_cross\":{\"type\":\"bullish\",\"bars_ago\":1}},\"passes_methodology\":{\"above_both_mas\":false,\"rsi_neutral_zone\":true,\"macd_recent_bullish_cross\":true}}", "full_size": 360, "error": false }, { "idx": 4, "name": "fundamentals", "args": { "ticker": "CGC" }, "result_first_8k": "{\"symbol\":\"CGC\",\"name\":\"Canopy Growth Corporation\",\"sector\":\"Healthcare\",\"industry\":\"Drug Manufacturers - Specialty & Generic\",\"employees\":960,\"description\":\"Canopy Growth Corporation, together with its subsidiaries, engages in the production, distribution, and sale of cannabis, hemp, and cannabis-related products in Canada, Germany, and Australia. 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"https://www.sec.gov/Archives/edgar/data/1737927/0001104659-26-039166/xslF345X06/tm2611026-1_4seq1.xml", "max_chars": 15000 }, "result_first_8k": "{\"error\":\"HTTP 404 https://www.sec.gov/Archives/edgar/data/1737927/0001104659-26-039166/xslF345X06/tm2611026-1_4seq1.xml\"}", "full_size": 122, "error": true }, { "idx": 12, "name": "edgar_filing_text", "args": { "filing_url": "https://www.sec.gov/cgi-bin/browse-edgar?action=getcompany&CIK=0001737927&type=4&dateb=&owner=include&count=10", "max_chars": 10000 }, "result_first_8k": "{\"url\":\"https://www.sec.gov/cgi-bin/browse-edgar?action=getcompany&CIK=0001737927&type=4&dateb=&owner=include&count=10\",\"length\":2157,\"text\":\"EDGAR Search Results SEC.gov EDGAR Latest Filings Filings search tools EDGAR Company Search Results SEC Home » Company Search » Current Page Mailing Address 1 HERSHEY DRIVE SMITH FALLS A6 K7A0A8 Business Address 1 HERSHEY DRIVE SMITH FALLS A6 K7A0A8 855-558-9333 Canopy Growth Corp CIK #: 0001737927 (see all company filings) SIC : 2833 - MEDICINAL CHEMICALS & BOTANICAL PRODUCTS State location: A6 | State of Inc.: Z4 | Fiscal Year End: 0331 (CF Office: 03 Life Sciences) Get insider transactions for this issuer . Filter Results Search Within Files Filing Type: Prior to: (YYYYMMDD) Ownership? include exclude only Limit Results Per Page 10 Entries 20 Entries 40 Entries 80 Entries 100 Entries Enter keywords Search Items 1 - 10 RSS Feed Filings Format Description Filing Date File/Film Number 4 Documents Statement of changes in beneficial ownership of securities Acc-no: 0001104659-26-039179 Size: 5 KB 2026-04-02 4 Documents Statement of changes in beneficial ownership of securities Acc-no: 0001104659-26-039178 Size: 5 KB 2026-04-02 4 Documents Statement of changes in beneficial ownership of securities Acc-no: 0001104659-26-039176 Size: 5 KB 2026-04-02 4 Documents Statement of changes in beneficial ownership of securities Acc-no: 0001104659-26-039166 Size: 5 KB 2026-04-02 424B3 Documents Prospectus [Rule 424(b)(3)] Acc-no: 0001104659-26-015197 (33 Act) Size: 203 KB 2026-02-13 333-293269 26632762 4 Documents Statement of changes in beneficial ownership of securities Acc-no: 0001104659-26-014523 Size: 5 KB 2026-02-12 424B3 Documents Prospectus [Rule 424(b)(3)] Acc-no: 0001104659-26-004089 (33 Act) Size: 166 KB 2026-01-15 333-292635 26536364 4 Documents Statement of changes in beneficial ownership of securities Acc-no: 0001104659-26-000222 Size: 4 KB 2026-01-02 4 Documents Statement of changes in beneficial ownership of securities Acc-no: 0001104659-26-000221 Size: 4 KB 2026-01-02 4 Documents Statement of changes in beneficial ownership of securities Acc-no: 0001104659-25-111341 Size: 4 KB 2025-11-13 https://www.sec.gov/cgi-bin/browse-edgar Home | Search the Next-Generation EDGAR System | Previous Page Modified 07/18/2014\"}", "full_size": 2301, "error": false }, { "idx": 13, "name": "edgar_filing_text", "args": { "filing_url": "https://www.sec.gov/cgi-bin/browse-edgar?action=getcompany&CIK=0001737927&type=4&dateb=&owner=include&count=10&start=0", "max_chars": 15000 }, "result_first_8k": "{\"url\":\"https://www.sec.gov/cgi-bin/browse-edgar?action=getcompany&CIK=0001737927&type=4&dateb=&owner=include&count=10&start=0\",\"length\":2157,\"text\":\"EDGAR Search Results SEC.gov EDGAR Latest Filings Filings search tools EDGAR Company Search Results SEC Home » Company Search » Current Page Mailing Address 1 HERSHEY DRIVE SMITH FALLS A6 K7A0A8 Business Address 1 HERSHEY DRIVE SMITH FALLS A6 K7A0A8 855-558-9333 Canopy Growth Corp CIK #: 0001737927 (see all company filings) SIC : 2833 - MEDICINAL CHEMICALS & BOTANICAL PRODUCTS State location: A6 | State of Inc.: Z4 | Fiscal Year End: 0331 (CF Office: 03 Life Sciences) Get insider transactions for this issuer . Filter Results Search Within Files Filing Type: Prior to: (YYYYMMDD) Ownership? include exclude only Limit Results Per Page 10 Entries 20 Entries 40 Entries 80 Entries 100 Entries Enter keywords Search Items 1 - 10 RSS Feed Filings Format Description Filing Date File/Film Number 4 Documents Statement of changes in beneficial ownership of securities Acc-no: 0001104659-26-039179 Size: 5 KB 2026-04-02 4 Documents Statement of changes in beneficial ownership of securities Acc-no: 0001104659-26-039178 Size: 5 KB 2026-04-02 4 Documents Statement of changes in beneficial ownership of securities Acc-no: 0001104659-26-039176 Size: 5 KB 2026-04-02 4 Documents Statement of changes in beneficial ownership of securities Acc-no: 0001104659-26-039166 Size: 5 KB 2026-04-02 424B3 Documents Prospectus [Rule 424(b)(3)] Acc-no: 0001104659-26-015197 (33 Act) Size: 203 KB 2026-02-13 333-293269 26632762 4 Documents Statement of changes in beneficial ownership of securities Acc-no: 0001104659-26-014523 Size: 5 KB 2026-02-12 424B3 Documents Prospectus [Rule 424(b)(3)] Acc-no: 0001104659-26-004089 (33 Act) Size: 166 KB 2026-01-15 333-292635 26536364 4 Documents Statement of changes in beneficial ownership of securities Acc-no: 0001104659-26-000222 Size: 4 KB 2026-01-02 4 Documents Statement of changes in beneficial ownership of securities Acc-no: 0001104659-26-000221 Size: 4 KB 2026-01-02 4 Documents Statement of changes in beneficial ownership of securities Acc-no: 0001104659-25-111341 Size: 4 KB 2025-11-13 https://www.sec.gov/cgi-bin/browse-edgar Home | Search the Next-Generation EDGAR System | Previous Page Modified 07/18/2014\"}", "full_size": 2309, "error": false } ], "final_message": "Based on my investigation, CGC fails multiple critical checkpoints:\n\n- **Price = $1.09** → below $5 quality_floor threshold\n- **Market cap ≈ $489M** → below $500M quality_floor threshold \n- Only 2 strikes available ($1 and $1.50) with severely limited liquidity (OI <250 on most)\n- No viable ATM straddle to calculate implied move\n\nThis triggers a mandatory `no_setup` verdict.\n\n{\"symbol\":\"CGC\",\"company\":\"Canopy Growth Corporation\",\"investigation_summary\":\"CGC fails the quality floor check at two levels: price of $1.09 is below the $5 minimum, and market cap of ~$489M is below the $500M threshold. The June 15 earnings catalyst is confirmed (Q4 FY2026 results), but the options chain is severely constrained — only two strikes ($1.00 ITM call and $1.50 OTM) are available on the nearest expiry (June 18). This makes an ATM straddle impossible to construct, preventing any implied-vs-realized magnitude calculation. The company has a going-concern risk (negative FCF of -$26M TTM), negative EPS history, and is currently restating two years of financials — a significant red flag for binary earnings resolution. With mixed direction signals (no confirmed Code-P insider buys in the last 90 days; stock below its 200-DMA) and no liquid options structure within DTE parameters, this name cannot support a defined-risk catalyst trade.\",\"verdict\":\"no_setup\",\"confidence_in_data\":4,\"catalyst\":{\"type\":\"earnings\",\"date\":\"2026-06-15\",\"dte\":16,\"binary\":true,\"outcome_scenarios\":[\"beat → modest upside (+5-15%)\",\"miss → significant downside (-10-25% given restatement risk)\"]},\"implied_vs_realized\":{\"implied_move_pct\":null,\"historical_avg_move_pct\":null,\"n_historical_events\":4,\"magnitude_edge_note\":\"Cannot compute — no ATM straddle available. Only $1 and $1.50 strikes exist; spot at $1.09 means the chain is non-standard for straddles.\"},\"direction_signals\":{\"insider_buys_90d\":\"unknown\",\"analyst_revisions_30d\":\"none\",\"technical_setup\":\"bearish\",\"options_skew\":\"flat\",\"news_sentiment\":\"mixed\",\"direction_lean\":\"neutral\"},\"structure_recommendation\":null,\"candidate_contracts\":[],\"quality_floor\":{\"market_cap\":489497760,\"price\":1.09,\"going_concern\":true,\"passes_floor\":false},\"anti_signals_present\":[\"price < $5 (fails floor)\",\"market cap < $500M (fails floor)\",\"financial restatement in progress\",\"no liquid ATM options chain\",\"negative EPS history with large surprises\",\"high debt-to-equity (33.65)\"],\"key_risks\":[\"Two-year financial restatement pending — earnings could be delayed or severely revised\",\"Only 2 option strikes available on nearest expiry, no ATM straddle constructible\",\"Going-concern risk given persistent negative FCF and profitability issues\",\"Binary event with potentially asymmetric outcomes not captured by illiquid options\"],\"sources\":[{\"label\":\"earnings()\",\"url\":\"\"},{\"label\":\"fundamentals()\",\"url\":\"\"},{\"label\":\"news_for_symbol 30d\",\"url\":\"\"},{\"label\":\"technicals()\",\"url\":\"\"}]}", "tool_calls_total": 13, "walltime_ms": 155046, "stop_reason": "stop", "completed_at": "2026-05-30T20:01:04.047Z" }