{
  "symbol": "URNM",
  "company": "Sprott Uranium Miners ETF",
  "generated_at": "2026-06-24T07:36:53.922Z",
  "event_count": 5,
  "events": [
    {
      "type": "pipeline_event",
      "ts": "2026-06-15T13:36:18.867Z",
      "stage": "scout",
      "outcome": "no_setup",
      "reason": null,
      "trigger": "wheel_hunter top-1 · score 62 · IV ~6% · ann yield ~53.9% on $52 P (31d) · OI 2008 · MOS vs 200DMA 16.3%",
      "source": "wheel_hunter"
    },
    {
      "type": "scout_dossier",
      "ts": "2026-06-15T13:36:18.840Z",
      "summary": "URNM is an ETF vehicle tracking uranium mining equities. It has no individual earnings calendar and derives IV from the underlying basket. The options chain returned severe data-quality failures: nearly all strikes show bid=0, ask=0 with nonsensical IV values (e.g., deep ITM calls at 0.00001 IV — mathematically impossible). The July-17 put's OI of 2008 at strike 52 is real, but the queue-meta premium of $2.38 cannot be confirmed against live chain data showing no executable bid/ask spread for most contracts. Spot price ~$58.49; stock sits below both MA50 ($63.14) and MA200 ($62.15), confirming a rangebound-to-bearish near-term posture. RSI neutral at 48.1. No earnings risk (ETF). However, the absence of reliable market-making on this ETF's options desk is a structural liquidity fatal flaw — wide or missing bid-ask spreads make premium collection un-executable at the strike levels needed.",
      "verdict": "no_setup",
      "confidence": 2,
      "tool_calls": 9,
      "walltime_min": 4,
      "debug_path": "dossiers/2026-06-15-URNM.wheel.scout.debug.json"
    },
    {
      "type": "scout_dossier",
      "ts": "2026-06-01T13:40:12.039Z",
      "summary": "URNM is an ETF tracking uranium mining equities — no corporate earnings risk for option sellers. The fund trades near $59.90, ~3% below its 200DMA of $61.66 and ~28% off its 52-week high of ~$83.99. RSI(14) sits at 43 (neutral zone), MACD recently flashed a bullish cross, suggesting the selloff may be maturing. However, critical FATAL FLAW: the options chain is effectively non-functional for retail wheel traders. Of roughly 36 strikes across 2 expirations checked (Jun18 and Jul17), nearly all contracts have zero bid/ask — meaning no real market maker will quote you a fillable price. The lone tradable put at $54/Jul17 shows an IV of only 6.25%, far below the threshold needed for meaningful premium collection. The annualized yield on paper was inflated by treating last-traded prices as realistic fills; actual execution would face extreme slippage or outright no-bid rejections. This is a commodity-sector ETF where uranium price volatility creates IV in individual component stocks, not necessarily in the ETF itself — and the thin OI confirms options interest is minimal.",
      "verdict": "no_setup",
      "confidence": 4,
      "tool_calls": 10,
      "walltime_min": 4,
      "debug_path": "dossiers/2026-06-01-URNM.wheel.scout.debug.json"
    },
    {
      "type": "analyst_decision",
      "ts": "2026-05-17T22:02:02.042Z",
      "skip": true,
      "reason": "Score falls well below threshold due to zero smart-money conviction, broken technicals, and no pricing edge. Anti-signal gates flag low liquidity and pump/dump patterns, and the underlying uranium narrative is already crowded and efficiently priced, making any structure unviable.",
      "score": 5,
      "breakdown": {
        "smart_money": 0,
        "options_flow": 0,
        "catalyst": 5,
        "mispricing": 0,
        "quality": 0,
        "technical": 0
      },
      "debug_path": "drafts/2026-05-17-URNM.analyst.debug.json"
    },
    {
      "type": "scout_dossier",
      "ts": "2026-05-17T22:01:26.738Z",
      "summary": "URNM is a passive ETF (non-diversified, ~$2.1B AUM) tracking the VettaFi Global Uranium Miners Index. It has had an extraordinary run — +119% over one year driven by AI power-demand narrative and nuclear energy renaissance — but recently pulled back from $84 52w-high to $60 (29% drawdown). The ETF is now technically oversold (RSI 39.8, below both MAs), IV remains elevated (55-72%), and put/call flow leans mildly bearish at the near-term expiry. No insider activity can be assessed via Form4 since URNM is a fund with no individual insiders; EDGAR returned zero matches for this ticker in any form database. The underlying uranium miners face genuine demand tailwinds from AI data centers, but URNM itself — as an already-rallying ETF near technical breakdown — does not present a compelling asymmetric entry at current levels. The structure hints lean toward income or range-bound strategies given IV premium and recent momentum loss.",
      "verdict": "range_bound_or_income",
      "confidence": 4,
      "tool_calls": 11,
      "walltime_min": 4,
      "debug_path": "dossiers/2026-05-17-URNM.scout.debug.json"
    }
  ],
  "lessons": [],
  "chart_signal": {
    "ticker": "URNM",
    "call": "HOLD",
    "confidence": 2,
    "score": -2,
    "factors": {
      "below_200dma": "-2",
      "below_50dma": "-1",
      "momentum_up": "+1 (24.1%)",
      "rsi_neutral": "0 (42.7)",
      "macd_above_signal": "+1",
      "recent_macd_bullish_cross": "+1 (3d ago)",
      "broken_below_high": "-2 (-33.7% from high)"
    },
    "summary": "HOLD (score -2) · 12-1 mom 24.1% · RSI 42.7 · below_both · -33.7% from high",
    "last_close": 55.69,
    "one_month_ago_close": 58.08,
    "twelve_month_ago_close": 46.8,
    "twelve_one_momentum_pct": 24.1,
    "rsi_14": 42.7,
    "ma_stack": "below_both",
    "from_period_high_pct": -33.69,
    "period_high": 83.99,
    "price_targets": {
      "bear": 58.79,
      "fair": 59.07,
      "bull": 96.59,
      "bear_return_pct": 5.6,
      "fair_return_pct": 6.1,
      "bull_return_pct": 73.4,
      "method": "street_targets ⨯ chart_floors",
      "street": {
        "target_low": null,
        "target_mean": null,
        "target_high": null,
        "analyst_count": null
      }
    },
    "generated_at": "2026-06-24T07:36:53.917Z"
  }
}