{
  "symbol": "RYAOF",
  "company": "Ryanair Holdings plc",
  "generated_at": "2026-06-24T07:36:52.307Z",
  "event_count": 1,
  "events": [
    {
      "type": "scout_dossier",
      "ts": "2026-05-21T21:44:54.861Z",
      "summary": "All 13 Form 4 filings triggering this investigation were RSUs vesting on May 19, 2026 (code M — conversion/exercise of derivative securities), not open-market discretionary purchases. Zero P-code transactions exist among the cluster. The investigation trigger was a false signal: these are equity compensation settlements under performance-based LTIP grants from March 2023, not insider conviction buying. Fundamentals show record FY26 profits (€2.26B, +40% YoY) but near-term headwinds from flat summer fares and Iran war-driven fuel uncertainty; guidance is suspended. Stock has sold off ~20% in recent sessions to ~$25, below both the 50-DMA ($32.91) and 200-DMA ($31.69), with RSI at extreme oversold (0.7). No listed options exist on RYAOF, eliminating income strategies. The combination of no genuine insider conviction signal, suspended guidance, macro fuel uncertainty from an active Iran conflict, Boeing delivery delays constraining growth, and zero available option structures yields no actionable asymmetric setup.",
      "verdict": "no_anomaly",
      "confidence": 4,
      "tool_calls": 23,
      "walltime_min": 10,
      "debug_path": "dossiers/2026-05-21-RYAOF.scout.debug.json"
    }
  ],
  "lessons": [],
  "chart_signal": {
    "ticker": "RYAOF",
    "call": "HOLD",
    "confidence": 2,
    "score": -2,
    "factors": {
      "below_200dma": "-2",
      "below_50dma": "-1",
      "momentum_flat": "0 (-8.0%)",
      "rsi_oversold": "+1 (0.7)",
      "macd_above_signal": "+1",
      "recent_macd_bullish_cross": "+1 (26d ago)",
      "broken_below_high": "-2 (-33.4% from high)"
    },
    "summary": "HOLD (score -2) · 12-1 mom -8.0% · RSI 0.7 · below_both · -33.4% from high",
    "last_close": 25.3,
    "one_month_ago_close": 25.3,
    "twelve_month_ago_close": 27.5,
    "twelve_one_momentum_pct": -8,
    "rsi_14": 0.7,
    "ma_stack": "below_both",
    "from_period_high_pct": -33.42,
    "period_high": 38,
    "price_targets": {
      "bear": 26.6,
      "fair": 26.38,
      "bull": 43.7,
      "bear_return_pct": 5.1,
      "fair_return_pct": 4.3,
      "bull_return_pct": 72.7,
      "method": "street_targets ⨯ chart_floors",
      "street": {
        "target_low": null,
        "target_mean": null,
        "target_high": null,
        "analyst_count": null
      }
    },
    "generated_at": "2026-06-24T07:36:52.303Z"
  }
}