{
  "symbol": "PKOH",
  "company": "Park-Ohio Holdings Corp.",
  "generated_at": "2026-06-24T07:36:51.548Z",
  "event_count": 3,
  "events": [
    {
      "type": "pipeline_event",
      "ts": "2026-05-18T13:30:29.422Z",
      "stage": "analyst",
      "outcome": "skip",
      "reason": "Heavy leverage (net debt/EBITDA ~5x) and a string of recent EPS misses undermine the cheap multiple thesis, while near-zero IV eliminates viable income structures and the customer concentration anti-signal triggers a hard skip.",
      "trigger": "[insider_cluster_universe] 3 Form 4 filings in last 14 days · at least one open-market P/S trade verified",
      "source": "idle_hunter"
    },
    {
      "type": "analyst_decision",
      "ts": "2026-05-18T13:30:29.404Z",
      "skip": true,
      "reason": "Heavy leverage (net debt/EBITDA ~5x) and a string of recent EPS misses undermine the cheap multiple thesis, while near-zero IV eliminates viable income structures and the customer concentration anti-signal triggers a hard skip.",
      "score": 11,
      "breakdown": {
        "smart_money": 0,
        "options_flow": 0,
        "catalyst": 0,
        "mispricing": 5,
        "quality": 0,
        "technical": 6
      },
      "debug_path": "drafts/2026-05-18-PKOH.analyst.debug.json"
    },
    {
      "type": "scout_dossier",
      "ts": "2026-05-18T13:29:33.880Z",
      "summary": "Park-Ohio is a diversified industrials company (supply chain management + manufactured components + capital equipment) trading near its 52-week high at $30.62 with a forward P/E of only ~9x — a steep discount to industrial sector peers at 15–20x. The investigation trigger cited Form 4 activity, but the recent filings were RSU dividend-equivalent vesting events (code A), not open-market purchases; however, CEO Matthew Crawford did receive 20,265 shares via gift transfer in December 2025 and holds ~890K shares directly with substantial indirect ownership through entities. Q1 FY2026 results beat on revenue ($421M vs $414M est.) while EPS met estimates exactly at $0.65. Management reaffirmed full-year guidance and disclosed a formal strategic alternatives review for the Southwest Steel Processing (SSP) business — a potential catalyst if a sale closes above book value. The stock has run 44% year-to-date, is near the top of its historical range, and carries heavy leverage (net debt/EBITDA ~5x), which constrains upside despite cheap multiples.",
      "verdict": "range_bound_or_income",
      "confidence": 4,
      "tool_calls": 20,
      "walltime_min": 23,
      "debug_path": "dossiers/2026-05-18-PKOH.scout.debug.json"
    }
  ],
  "lessons": [],
  "chart_signal": {
    "ticker": "PKOH",
    "call": "BUY",
    "confidence": 5,
    "score": 8,
    "factors": {
      "above_200dma": "+2",
      "above_50dma": "+1",
      "momentum_strong_up": "+2 (70.1%)",
      "rsi_neutral": "0 (70)",
      "macd_above_signal": "+1",
      "recent_macd_bullish_cross": "+1 (6d ago)",
      "near_52w_high": "+1 (-0.3% from high)"
    },
    "summary": "BUY (score +8) · 12-1 mom 70.1% · RSI 70 · above_both · -0.3% from high",
    "last_close": 36.43,
    "one_month_ago_close": 30.31,
    "twelve_month_ago_close": 17.82,
    "twelve_one_momentum_pct": 70.09,
    "rsi_14": 70,
    "ma_stack": "above_both",
    "from_period_high_pct": -0.33,
    "period_high": 36.55,
    "price_targets": {
      "bear": 24.61,
      "fair": 35.58,
      "bull": 42.03,
      "bear_return_pct": -32.4,
      "fair_return_pct": -2.3,
      "bull_return_pct": 15.4,
      "method": "street_targets ⨯ chart_floors",
      "street": {
        "target_low": 37,
        "target_mean": 39.5,
        "target_high": 42,
        "analyst_count": 2
      }
    },
    "generated_at": "2026-06-24T07:36:51.544Z"
  }
}