{
  "symbol": "NTNX",
  "company": "Nutanix, Inc.",
  "generated_at": "2026-06-24T07:36:50.857Z",
  "event_count": 7,
  "events": [
    {
      "type": "pipeline_event",
      "ts": "2026-06-11T16:21:45.183Z",
      "stage": "analyst",
      "outcome": "skip",
      "reason": "Anti-signal gate triggered for low liquidity; additionally, the dossier shows no insider conviction, elevated EV/EBITDA (41x vs 18.5x sector median), and a technical setup below the 200-DMA with persistent supply-chain headwinds, making it unsuitable for publication.",
      "trigger": "watchlist rotation · core · frontier-2030s",
      "source": "watchlist"
    },
    {
      "type": "analyst_decision",
      "ts": "2026-06-11T16:21:45.166Z",
      "skip": true,
      "reason": "Anti-signal gate triggered for low liquidity; additionally, the dossier shows no insider conviction, elevated EV/EBITDA (41x vs 18.5x sector median), and a technical setup below the 200-DMA with persistent supply-chain headwinds, making it unsuitable for publication.",
      "score": 15,
      "breakdown": {
        "smart_money": 0,
        "options_flow": 0,
        "catalyst": 10,
        "mispricing": 0,
        "quality": 5,
        "technical": 0
      },
      "debug_path": "drafts/2026-06-11-NTNX.analyst.debug.json"
    },
    {
      "type": "scout_dossier",
      "ts": "2026-06-11T16:20:47.447Z",
      "summary": "Nutanix reported strong Q1 CY2026 results (EPS $0.47 vs $0.35 estimate, +34% beat) with ARR up 15% and has raised FY26 guidance — a genuine positive catalyst in a 10% revenue growth story trading at forward P/E of ~22x but EV/EBITDA of ~41x is elevated versus sector medians for infrastructure software. The stock collapsed from $77 (Oct 2025) to $34 (Apr 2026) on macro fears and supply-chain concerns — a -41% drawdown that overshot given solid underlying execution. NVIDIA-Certified status for NUS (Jun 1, 2026) adds an AI infrastructure angle. However: no insider open-market purchases in the past year; CEO's RSU vesting/exercise is routine not bullish signal; stock still below 200-DMA; and near-term Q2 guidance of $735M came in ~1% below consensus despite beating on Q1, suggesting supply chain/macro headwinds persist. The stock has recovered from its April lows but faces stiff resistance at the $55-60 zone — consistent with a range-bound rather than asymmetric setup.",
      "verdict": "range_bound_or_income",
      "confidence": 4,
      "tool_calls": 21,
      "walltime_min": 26,
      "debug_path": "dossiers/2026-06-11-NTNX.scout.debug.json"
    },
    {
      "type": "analyst_decision",
      "ts": "2026-05-28T01:51:24.618Z",
      "skip": true,
      "reason": "Score of 22 falls well below publication thresholds, compounded by flagged anti-signals (dilution and low liquidity). The stock trades at a rich EV/EBITDA (~41x) with zero insider buying, and the elevated IV (~67%) already prices in the upcoming August earnings, leaving no asymmetric edge for either directional or income structures.",
      "score": 22,
      "breakdown": {
        "smart_money": 0,
        "options_flow": 2,
        "catalyst": 10,
        "mispricing": 0,
        "quality": 5,
        "technical": 5
      },
      "debug_path": "drafts/2026-05-28-NTNX.analyst.debug.json"
    },
    {
      "type": "scout_dossier",
      "ts": "2026-05-28T01:50:11.449Z",
      "summary": "Nutanix reported Q3 FY26 results (ended April 30, 2026) on May 27 with a significant beat: EPS $0.47 vs $0.35 estimate (+34%), revenue $703M +10% YoY, and ARR growth of 15%. The company generates strong free cash flow ($665M TTM FCF), has converted to a subscription model (87%+ gross margins), and recently raised its buyback authorization by $750M while also completing a $150M strategic share issuance to AMD. Forward P/E of ~21.7x is reasonable for the growth/FCF profile, but EV/EBITDA of ~41x is rich. The stock has recovered strongly from its 52-week low ($34.01) but remains -43% off highs at $78+. Options flow is bullish with high call-to-put ratio (0.04 PCR), and IV is elevated (~67%). No insider open-market purchases were detected in the recent period — most Form 4s are RSU vestings. The setup fits a range-bound or covered-call income thesis rather than a mispricing asymmetric long.",
      "verdict": "range_bound_or_income",
      "confidence": 5,
      "tool_calls": 24,
      "walltime_min": 16,
      "debug_path": "dossiers/2026-05-28-NTNX.scout.debug.json"
    },
    {
      "type": "analyst_decision",
      "ts": "2026-05-19T11:48:35.928Z",
      "skip": true,
      "reason": "Score of 18 falls well below the 60 threshold. Anti-signal gates for channel concentration (41% of revenue via top 2 distributors) and dilution are active, and the dossier explicitly flags a range-bound setup with no asymmetric long opportunity.",
      "score": 18,
      "breakdown": {
        "smart_money": 0,
        "options_flow": 2,
        "catalyst": 10,
        "mispricing": 0,
        "quality": 5,
        "technical": 1
      },
      "debug_path": "drafts/2026-05-19-NTNX.analyst.debug.json"
    },
    {
      "type": "scout_dossier",
      "ts": "2026-05-19T11:47:35.362Z",
      "summary": "Nutanix is a profitable ($267M FY2025 net income), subscription-based hybrid multicloud software company trading at $47.45 with a forward P/E of 22x and EV/EBITDA of ~42x. The stock is -37% YTD and -42% from its 52-week high, having corrected sharply alongside the broader tech sector rotation. Earnings are May 27 (8 DTE) with an estimated EPS of $0.35 on $686M revenue; last Q beat by +28%. No insider open-market purchases found in 90 days — only RSU vestings (CEO/CFO). The AMD strategic investment ($150M at $36.26/share, a -23% discount to current price) closed May 4 and represents a notable data point: a well-capitalized strategic partner validated the stock at prices materially below today's market. Options flow shows bullish bias with net call notional dominating put by 49.7%.",
      "verdict": "range_bound_or_income",
      "confidence": 5,
      "tool_calls": 19,
      "walltime_min": 35,
      "debug_path": "dossiers/2026-05-19-NTNX.scout.debug.json"
    }
  ],
  "lessons": [],
  "chart_signal": {
    "ticker": "NTNX",
    "call": "SELL",
    "confidence": 3,
    "score": -7,
    "factors": {
      "below_200dma": "-2",
      "above_50dma": "+1",
      "momentum_strong_down": "-2 (-39.8%)",
      "rsi_neutral": "0 (48.8)",
      "recent_macd_bearish_cross": "-2 (8d ago)",
      "broken_below_high": "-2 (-41.0% from high)"
    },
    "summary": "SELL (score -7) · 12-1 mom -39.8% · RSI 48.8 · above_50_only · -41.0% from high",
    "last_close": 47.89,
    "one_month_ago_close": 44.69,
    "twelve_month_ago_close": 74.27,
    "twelve_one_momentum_pct": -39.83,
    "rsi_14": 48.8,
    "ma_stack": "above_50_only",
    "from_period_high_pct": -40.96,
    "period_high": 81.12,
    "price_targets": {
      "bear": 40.17,
      "fair": 50.21,
      "bull": 93.29,
      "bear_return_pct": -16.1,
      "fair_return_pct": 4.8,
      "bull_return_pct": 94.8,
      "method": "street_targets ⨯ chart_floors",
      "street": {
        "target_low": 40.17,
        "target_mean": 57.01133,
        "target_high": 65,
        "analyst_count": 15
      }
    },
    "generated_at": "2026-06-24T07:36:50.851Z"
  }
}