{ "symbol": "LUNR", "company": "Intuitive Machines, Inc.", "generated_at": "2026-06-24T07:36:49.797Z", "event_count": 7, "events": [ { "type": "pipeline_event", "ts": "2026-06-20T09:54:33.814Z", "stage": "scout", "outcome": "unparseable", "reason": null, "trigger": "[form4_cluster] 6 Form 4 filings in last 14 days · 2 real trades", "source": "hunter" }, { "type": "scout_dossier", "ts": "2026-06-20T09:54:33.789Z", "summary": "{\"symbol\":\"LUNR\",\"company\":\"Intuitive Machines, Inc.\",\"investigation_summary\":\"Intuitive Machines is a space infrastructure and services company (lunar landers, satellite manufacturing via acquisitions KinetX/Lanteris) with substantial NASA CLPS contracts and NSN data relay awards. The Form 4 cluster that triggered this investigation is largely noise: the 6 recent filings include only RSUs granted", "verdict": "unparseable", "tool_calls": 19, "walltime_min": 18, "debug_path": "dossiers/2026-06-20-LUNR.scout.debug.json" }, { "type": "scout_dossier", "ts": "2026-06-04T16:26:31.969Z", "summary": "LUNR has surged ~230% YTD on SpaceX IPO adjacency plays and a recent string of contract wins (Space Force Andromeda IDIQ, Goonhilly Earth Station acquisition announced May 14). The Q1 2026 earnings beat featured record revenue, gross margin expansion, and positive adjusted EBITDA for the first time — genuine fundamental inflection. However, this investigation uncovered significant near-term headwinds: a $500M ATM stock offering filed June 3 (dilutive overhang), a co-founder/director who converted Class C shares to A and sold ~$5M at elevated prices in early June, and extreme put-skew options flow (4.79 P/C ratio, net -$671K dollar bias) signaling sophisticated hedging against the rally peak. The stock crashed 27% in two sessions (June 1-3) from its $46.75 high to $33.83. At 20x forward revenue with a still-negative earnings profile and fresh capital raise, upside catalysts exist but are already priced at a rich multiple.", "verdict": "no_anomaly", "confidence": 5, "tool_calls": 21, "walltime_min": 16, "debug_path": "dossiers/2026-06-04-LUNR.scout.debug.json" }, { "type": "scout_dossier", "ts": "2026-05-28T15:05:54.222Z", "summary": "{\"symbol\":\"LUNR\",\"company\":\"Intuitive Machines, Inc.\",\"investigation_summary\":\"Two recent Form 4 filings were triggered as 'real trades' by the pipeline — but both were SELLING activity: Kamal Ghaffarian (founder/10% owner) executed a pre-planned Rule 10b5-1 sell program on May 18, divesting ~142K shares at $32.66-$38.55; and Michael Blitzer entered into a prepaid variable forward sale contract co", "verdict": "unparseable", "tool_calls": 19, "walltime_min": 29, "debug_path": "dossiers/2026-05-28-LUNR.scout.debug.json" }, { "type": "scout_dossier", "ts": "2026-05-21T15:03:02.678Z", "summary": "{\"symbol\":\"LUNR\",\"company\":\"Intuitive Machines, Inc.\",\"investigation_summary\":\"Intuitive Machines has rocketed ~285% YTD on NASA lunar infrastructure contracts, a $1.1B backlog, record Q1 2026 revenue ($186.7M), and the Goonhilly acquisition deepening its deep-space communications moat. The triggering Form 4 cluster from May 18 was misinterpreted as bullish: Kamal Ghaffarian (co-founder / largest ", "verdict": "unparseable", "tool_calls": 20, "walltime_min": 35, "debug_path": "dossiers/2026-05-21-LUNR.scout.debug.json" }, { "type": "analyst_decision", "ts": "2026-05-14T14:10:38.166Z", "skip": true, "reason": "Active anti-signal gates (dilution >10% from Lanteris/convertibles, customer concentration >30%, complex acquisition accounting) and heavy insider selling override any momentum. With a 167x forward P/E on negative earnings, a +328% YTD run, and RSI 72.4, the stock is a fully-valued momentum trap with no margin of safety for long or income structures.", "score": 14, "breakdown": { "smart_money": 0, "options_flow": 1, "catalyst": 5, "mispricing": 0, "quality": 0, "technical": 8 }, "debug_path": "drafts/2026-05-14-LUNR.analyst.debug.json" }, { "type": "scout_dossier", "ts": "2026-05-14T14:10:02.931Z", "summary": "Intuitive Machines executed a transformational quarter: record revenue of ~$240M in Q1 2026, positive adjusted EBITDA for the first time, $1.1B backlog, and a major acquisition announced on the same day (Goonhilly Earth Station + COMSAT). The stock has run from ~$8 to near its 52-week high of $36.92 on momentum tied to lunar infrastructure demand, Pentagon space spending, and SpaceX IPO speculation. However, at a forward P/E of ~167x with negative net income, extremely overbought technicals (RSI 72.4, 12-month return +328%), CEO-level selling via Rule 10b5-1 plan, and the CFO covering tax obligations on vesting — there is no smart-money insider buying cluster. The acquisition adds strategic depth but integration risk from back-to-back M&A ($800M Lanteris in January, now Goonhilly/COMSAT) is material. No mispricing exists; this is a fully-valued momentum name at the top of its range.", "verdict": "range_bound_or_income", "confidence": 4, "tool_calls": 19, "walltime_min": 34, "debug_path": "dossiers/2026-05-14-LUNR.scout.debug.json" } ], "lessons": [], "chart_signal": { "ticker": "LUNR", "call": "HOLD", "confidence": 1, "score": -1, "factors": { "above_200dma": "+2", "below_50dma": "-1", "momentum_strong_up": "+2 (231.1%)", "rsi_neutral": "0 (35.3)", "recent_macd_bearish_cross": "-2 (13d ago)", "broken_below_high": "-2 (-54.2% from high)" }, "summary": "HOLD (score -1) · 12-1 mom 231.1% · RSI 35.3 · above_200_only · -54.2% from high", "last_close": 20.95, "one_month_ago_close": 34.24, "twelve_month_ago_close": 10.34, "twelve_one_momentum_pct": 231.14, "rsi_14": 35.3, "ma_stack": "above_200_only", "from_period_high_pct": -54.16, "period_high": 45.7, "price_targets": { "bear": 11, "fair": 30.46, "bull": 75, "bear_return_pct": -47.5, "fair_return_pct": 45.4, "bull_return_pct": 258, "method": "street_targets ⨯ chart_floors", "street": { "target_low": 11, "target_mean": 40.77778, "target_high": 75, "analyst_count": 9 } }, "generated_at": "2026-06-24T07:36:49.795Z" } }