{
  "symbol": "CRCL",
  "company": "Circle Internet Group, Inc.",
  "generated_at": "2026-06-24T07:36:46.814Z",
  "event_count": 2,
  "events": [
    {
      "type": "pipeline_event",
      "ts": "2026-06-10T01:07:05.622Z",
      "stage": "scout",
      "outcome": "failed",
      "reason": null,
      "trigger": "[insider_cluster_universe] 3 Form 4 filings in last 14 days · at least one open-market P/S trade verified",
      "source": "idle_hunter"
    },
    {
      "type": "scout_dossier",
      "ts": "2026-06-03T21:20:30.436Z",
      "summary": "Circle Internet Group is a newly public stablecoin/blockchain infrastructure company (NYSE: CRCL), IPO'd June 2025 at ~$31. The investigation was triggered by insider cluster activity — there have been many Form 4 filings in the past two weeks but ALL are SELLING transactions under pre-established 10b5-1 plans (Jeremy Allaire converted Class B to A for future sales; Director Patrick Neville sold via 10b5-1; CFO Nikhil Chandhok exercised and immediately sold options). Zero open-market purchases from any insider. The stock is down 31.5% YTD, currently ~$90 vs $299 high. Key bullish catalysts exist (Q2 earnings Aug 11 with recent beat history; $222M ARC token presale led by a16z crypto at $3B fully-diluted Arc valuation; stablecoin regulation tailwind from GENIUS Act) but the stock is expensive on forward P/E of ~40x in Financial Services, options flow is heavily bearish (put/call 1.55), and insider selling cluster signals distribution — not accumulation.",
      "verdict": "no_anomaly",
      "confidence": 5,
      "tool_calls": 21,
      "walltime_min": 12,
      "debug_path": "dossiers/2026-06-03-CRCL.scout.debug.json"
    }
  ],
  "lessons": [],
  "chart_signal": {
    "ticker": "CRCL",
    "call": "SELL",
    "confidence": 5,
    "score": -9,
    "factors": {
      "below_200dma": "-2",
      "below_50dma": "-1",
      "momentum_strong_down": "-2 (-48.4%)",
      "rsi_neutral": "0 (35)",
      "recent_macd_bearish_cross": "-2 (23d ago)",
      "broken_below_high": "-2 (-67.8% from high)"
    },
    "summary": "SELL (score -9) · 12-1 mom -48.4% · RSI 35 · below_both · -67.8% from high",
    "last_close": 75.68,
    "one_month_ago_close": 114.88,
    "twelve_month_ago_close": 222.65,
    "twelve_one_momentum_pct": -48.4,
    "rsi_14": 35,
    "ma_stack": "below_both",
    "from_period_high_pct": -67.81,
    "period_high": 235.08,
    "price_targets": {
      "bear": 65,
      "fair": 106.7,
      "bull": 270.34,
      "bear_return_pct": -14.1,
      "fair_return_pct": 41,
      "bull_return_pct": 257.2,
      "method": "street_targets ⨯ chart_floors",
      "street": {
        "target_low": 65,
        "target_mean": 143.48409,
        "target_high": 243,
        "analyst_count": 22
      }
    },
    "generated_at": "2026-06-24T07:36:46.809Z"
  }
}