{
  "symbol": "BAH",
  "company": "Booz Allen Hamilton Holding Corporation",
  "generated_at": "2026-06-24T07:36:45.464Z",
  "event_count": 7,
  "events": [
    {
      "type": "pipeline_event",
      "ts": "2026-06-22T14:31:57.042Z",
      "stage": "scout",
      "outcome": "failed",
      "reason": null,
      "trigger": "[news_M&A] Booz Allen to Acquire Ultra I&C Mission Solutions Business, Further Strengthening Defense Technology Portfolio",
      "source": "hunter"
    },
    {
      "type": "analyst_decision",
      "ts": "2026-06-01T09:54:50.693Z",
      "skip": true,
      "reason": "Score falls well below the publication threshold (25/100) due to absent smart-money support, muted technicals, and elevated leverage (2.9x net debt/EBITDA) in a declining-revenue environment. Anti-signal gates for customer concentration and dilution also remain unresolved, warranting a skip.",
      "score": 25,
      "breakdown": {
        "smart_money": 0,
        "options_flow": 0,
        "catalyst": 5,
        "mispricing": 9,
        "quality": 5,
        "technical": 6
      },
      "debug_path": "drafts/2026-06-01-BAH.analyst.debug.json"
    },
    {
      "type": "scout_dossier",
      "ts": "2026-06-01T09:54:14.181Z",
      "summary": "Booz Allen Hamilton is a federal defense/intelligence consulting and advanced technology firm trading at 11.5x forward earnings — near the bottom of its historical range after a ~35% drawdown from 52-week highs driven by Civil-sector spending headwinds (DOGE-era budget cuts). Q4 FY26 EPS crushed estimates by +33%, with margin expansion to 18%+ on cost discipline. The defense and intelligence portfolio is stable; AI/cyber productization is a genuine growth vector. No open-market insider buys in the past 90 days — all recent Form 4s were RSU grants (code A). Options flow is mixed (put/call ratio 1.87) with no whale positioning. Near-term catalyst: July 24 earnings with FY27 guidance as the next re-rating opportunity.",
      "verdict": "range_bound_or_income",
      "confidence": 5,
      "tool_calls": 19,
      "walltime_min": 25,
      "debug_path": "dossiers/2026-06-01-BAH.scout.debug.json"
    },
    {
      "type": "analyst_decision",
      "ts": "2026-05-22T15:19:37.393Z",
      "skip": true,
      "reason": "Absence of insider buying, elevated leverage (3.1x net debt/EBITDA), and concentrated revenue streams outweigh the apparent valuation discount; bearish options flow and lack of near-term catalysts justify a skip.",
      "score": 6,
      "breakdown": {
        "smart_money": 0,
        "options_flow": 0,
        "catalyst": 0,
        "mispricing": 5,
        "quality": 0,
        "technical": 1
      },
      "debug_path": "drafts/2026-05-22-BAH.analyst.debug.json"
    },
    {
      "type": "scout_dossier",
      "ts": "2026-05-22T15:18:51.953Z",
      "summary": "BAH just reported fiscal Q4 2026 earnings on May 22, beating EPS consensus by +33% ($1.78 actual vs $1.34 estimate) while revenue missed slightly (-3.4% YoY). The stock has been decimated over the past year — down ~40% from its $120.05 52-week high to $77.49 on federal spending uncertainty tied to DOGE and civil government headcount reduction. Forward P/E of 12.4x vs sector medians of 18-20x is a notable discount, but that discount reflects real revenue pressure: FY2026 revenue guidance missed consensus by -0.7%. No insider open-market purchases found in the past 90 days — all recent Form 4s were RSU vesting events (not discretionary buys). Options flow shows a put/call ratio of 3.0 and net bearish dollar bias, reflecting elevated market fear about the federal spending environment. MACD just printed a bullish cross two bars ago; RSI neutral at 53. No compelling mispricing narrative given secular headwinds to civil business revenue.",
      "verdict": "range_bound_or_income",
      "confidence": 4,
      "tool_calls": 17,
      "walltime_min": 18,
      "debug_path": "dossiers/2026-05-22-BAH.scout.debug.json"
    },
    {
      "type": "analyst_decision",
      "ts": "2026-05-12T21:17:08.305Z",
      "skip": true,
      "reason": "Deteriorating fundamentals (revenue down 10%, margin compression, 3.95x leverage) combined with zero insider conviction and active concentration/dilution anti-signals render this dossier uninvestable. Elevated IV does not compensate for the lack of a stabilizing catalyst or quality floor to support an income structure.",
      "score": 8,
      "breakdown": {
        "smart_money": 0,
        "options_flow": 0,
        "catalyst": 2,
        "mispricing": 4,
        "quality": 0,
        "technical": 2
      },
      "debug_path": "drafts/2026-05-12-BAH.analyst.debug.json"
    },
    {
      "type": "scout_dossier",
      "ts": "2026-05-12T21:16:34.213Z",
      "summary": "BAH is a federal IT/consulting firm deeply embedded in defense, intelligence, and civil agencies. The stock has declined ~31% YTD from ~$110 to $75, approaching its 52-week low of $74.26 set in late February 2026 — representing meaningful mean reversion. However, the decline is fundamentally driven: revenue fell ~10% YoY ($8.4B LTM vs $9.0B prior year), civil agency work dropped sharply (35%→28% of mix), and G&A expanded as a percent of revenue despite lower top line. No insider open-market purchases in 90 days; all recent Form 4s show F-codes (forfeitures) or tax-related sales, not directional conviction. The Q3 FY2026 EPS beat (+37%) was largely driven by a $57M discrete tax benefit — not operational. New CFO Troy Lahr appointment is notable but too fresh to signal direction. The stock offers a compelling FCF yield (~8-9%), modest forward P/E (12x), and elevated IV ahead of May 22 earnings — supporting an income thesis rather than an asymmetric long.",
      "verdict": "range_bound_or_income",
      "confidence": 5,
      "tool_calls": 19,
      "walltime_min": 44,
      "debug_path": "dossiers/2026-05-12-BAH.scout.debug.json"
    }
  ],
  "lessons": [],
  "chart_signal": {
    "ticker": "BAH",
    "call": "SELL",
    "confidence": 3,
    "score": -7,
    "factors": {
      "below_200dma": "-2",
      "below_50dma": "-1",
      "momentum_down": "-1 (-23.8%)",
      "rsi_oversold": "+1 (25.1)",
      "recent_macd_bearish_cross": "-2 (8d ago)",
      "broken_below_high": "-2 (-44.9% from high)"
    },
    "summary": "SELL (score -7) · 12-1 mom -23.8% · RSI 25.1 · below_both · -44.9% from high",
    "last_close": 63.88,
    "one_month_ago_close": 76.35,
    "twelve_month_ago_close": 100.16,
    "twelve_one_momentum_pct": -23.77,
    "rsi_14": 25.1,
    "ma_stack": "below_both",
    "from_period_high_pct": -44.91,
    "period_high": 115.95,
    "price_targets": {
      "bear": 74,
      "fair": 78.49,
      "bull": 160,
      "bear_return_pct": 15.8,
      "fair_return_pct": 22.9,
      "bull_return_pct": 150.5,
      "method": "street_targets ⨯ chart_floors",
      "street": {
        "target_low": 74,
        "target_mean": 94.5,
        "target_high": 160,
        "analyst_count": 12
      }
    },
    "generated_at": "2026-06-24T07:36:45.459Z"
  }
}