{
  "symbol": "ATRO",
  "company": "Astronics Corporation",
  "generated_at": "2026-06-24T07:36:45.121Z",
  "event_count": 6,
  "events": [
    {
      "type": "pipeline_event",
      "ts": "2026-06-04T15:43:33.045Z",
      "stage": "analyst",
      "outcome": "skip",
      "reason": "Rich valuation (~28x Fwd P/E) and elevated leverage mean the commercial recovery and IFEC tailwinds are already fully priced in. With no insider buying, bearish options skew, and anti-signals for concentration/dilution, there is no clear mispricing or income structure edge at current levels.",
      "trigger": "watchlist rotation · core · defense-coldwar",
      "source": "watchlist"
    },
    {
      "type": "analyst_decision",
      "ts": "2026-06-04T15:43:33.029Z",
      "skip": true,
      "reason": "Rich valuation (~28x Fwd P/E) and elevated leverage mean the commercial recovery and IFEC tailwinds are already fully priced in. With no insider buying, bearish options skew, and anti-signals for concentration/dilution, there is no clear mispricing or income structure edge at current levels.",
      "score": 26,
      "breakdown": {
        "smart_money": 0,
        "options_flow": 0,
        "catalyst": 15,
        "mispricing": 0,
        "quality": 5,
        "technical": 6
      },
      "debug_path": "drafts/2026-06-04-ATRO.analyst.debug.json"
    },
    {
      "type": "scout_dossier",
      "ts": "2026-06-04T15:42:26.738Z",
      "summary": "Astronics is a well-run aerospace & defense technology company with record Q1 bookings ($290M), backlog of $734M, and strong margin expansion. The stock has surged 170% over 12 months on commercial aerospace recovery and IFEC momentum, but now trades at ~28x forward earnings — rich relative to its peer group. No open-market insider buys were detected (recent Form 4s reflect RSU vestings, not director purchases). Options skew is modestly put-heavy. The company has elevated debt (D/E 234%) and a Lufthansa Technik patent litigation overhang. This is a quality business at full-to-rich valuation with no clear near-term mispricing — the appropriate verdict is structured income on pullbacks rather than an asymmetric long setup.",
      "verdict": "range_bound_or_income",
      "confidence": 4,
      "tool_calls": 22,
      "walltime_min": 13,
      "debug_path": "dossiers/2026-06-04-ATRO.scout.debug.json"
    },
    {
      "type": "scout_dossier",
      "ts": "2026-05-29T02:55:35.885Z",
      "summary": "{\"symbol\":\"ATRO\",\"company\":\"Astronics Corporation\",\"investigation_summary\":\"Astronics is a well-run aerospace & defense electronics manufacturer that just reported blowout Q1 FY2026 results — 12% revenue growth, record bookings of $290M, and a backlog of $734M (new company records). The stock has run +49% YTD and sits ~2.8% from its 52-week high. However, the shares trade at 28x forward earnings w",
      "verdict": "unparseable",
      "tool_calls": 19,
      "walltime_min": 14,
      "debug_path": "dossiers/2026-05-29-ATRO.scout.debug.json"
    },
    {
      "type": "analyst_decision",
      "ts": "2026-05-12T21:39:46.443Z",
      "skip": true,
      "reason": "The dossier flags convertible dilution risk (>$10M float overhang) and high leverage (5.3x net debt/EBITDA) alongside a lack of mispricing near a 52-week high. With no insider buying, material insider selling, and no asymmetric catalyst, the risk/reward profile fails to clear the publication threshold.",
      "score": 16,
      "breakdown": {
        "smart_money": 0,
        "options_flow": 0,
        "catalyst": 10,
        "mispricing": 0,
        "quality": 0,
        "technical": 6
      },
      "debug_path": "drafts/2026-05-12-ATRO.analyst.debug.json"
    },
    {
      "type": "scout_dossier",
      "ts": "2026-05-12T21:39:06.630Z",
      "summary": "Astronics is a well-run aerospace & defense supplier with strong earnings momentum (four consecutive EPS beats) and accelerating revenue growth (+12% YoY in Q1 2026). However, the stock has already run ~114% over one year and sits just 7% below its 52-week high at $78.26. The May 12, 2026 8-K revealed a Q1 beat (EPS $0.59 vs $0.56 est; revenue $230.6M) yet the stock dropped — suggesting the market is already paying close attention and may be fully valuing near-term prospects. Forward P/E of ~25x with EV/EBITDA of ~26.5x leaves modest upside to consensus target ($86.58). The only actionable thesis here is a covered-call or strangle income strategy on a high-IV aerospace name at/near its peak.",
      "verdict": "range_bound_or_income",
      "confidence": 4,
      "tool_calls": 21,
      "walltime_min": 22,
      "debug_path": "dossiers/2026-05-12-ATRO.scout.debug.json"
    }
  ],
  "lessons": [],
  "chart_signal": {
    "ticker": "ATRO",
    "call": "BUY",
    "confidence": 4,
    "score": 7,
    "factors": {
      "above_200dma": "+2",
      "above_50dma": "+1",
      "momentum_strong_up": "+2 (139.3%)",
      "rsi_overbought": "-1 (73.6)",
      "macd_above_signal": "+1",
      "recent_macd_bullish_cross": "+1 (7d ago)",
      "near_52w_high": "+1 (0.0% from high)"
    },
    "summary": "BUY (score +7) · 12-1 mom 139.3% · RSI 73.6 · above_both · 0.0% from high",
    "last_close": 82.7,
    "one_month_ago_close": 63.76,
    "twelve_month_ago_close": 26.64,
    "twelve_one_momentum_pct": 139.33,
    "rsi_14": 73.6,
    "ma_stack": "above_both",
    "from_period_high_pct": 0,
    "period_high": 82.7,
    "price_targets": {
      "bear": 45.73,
      "fair": 74.73,
      "bull": 95.1,
      "bear_return_pct": -44.7,
      "fair_return_pct": -9.6,
      "bull_return_pct": 15,
      "method": "street_targets ⨯ chart_floors",
      "street": {
        "target_low": 45.73333,
        "target_mean": 76.14667,
        "target_high": 89.16667,
        "analyst_count": 5
      }
    },
    "generated_at": "2026-06-24T07:36:45.116Z"
  }
}