{
  "symbol": "AAON",
  "company": "AAON, Inc.",
  "generated_at": "2026-06-24T07:36:44.210Z",
  "event_count": 1,
  "events": [
    {
      "type": "scout_dossier",
      "ts": "2026-05-14T23:53:30.597Z",
      "summary": "AAON is a commercial HVAC manufacturer that surged ~72% YTD (to $140) and hit an all-time high of $149 on May 7 after blowing out Q1 earnings (+54% revenue growth, backlog doubled YoY to $2.1B). The Form 4 cluster triggering this investigation was 8 filings in 14 days — but upon detailed inspection, these were predominantly RSU grants (code A at $0 price) to directors and option-exercise-plus-sales by executives Gary Fields and CAO Rebecca Thompson. There are NO genuine open-market P-code purchases from any insider. The CEO Matt Tobolski actually SOLD 8,000 shares open-market at $135.37 on May 13. Fundamentals are excellent — strong data center demand (BASX segment), backlog record-high, margins expanding — but the stock is trading at ~43x forward P/E vs sector median ~20-25x and EV/EBITDA of ~47. The market has not missed anything; it is fully pricing in the AI/data-center tailwind with a premium that leaves no room for disappointment.",
      "verdict": "no_anomaly",
      "confidence": 5,
      "tool_calls": 22,
      "walltime_min": 14,
      "debug_path": "dossiers/2026-05-14-AAON.scout.debug.json"
    }
  ],
  "lessons": [],
  "chart_signal": {
    "ticker": "AAON",
    "call": "HOLD",
    "confidence": 3,
    "score": 3,
    "factors": {
      "above_200dma": "+2",
      "above_50dma": "+1",
      "momentum_strong_up": "+2 (80.7%)",
      "rsi_neutral": "0 (49.4)",
      "recent_macd_bearish_cross": "-2 (16d ago)",
      "from_high": "0 (-12.7%)"
    },
    "summary": "HOLD (score +3) · 12-1 mom 80.7% · RSI 49.4 · above_both · -12.7% from high",
    "last_close": 129.45,
    "one_month_ago_close": 132.39,
    "twelve_month_ago_close": 73.25,
    "twelve_one_momentum_pct": 80.74,
    "rsi_14": 49.4,
    "ma_stack": "above_both",
    "from_period_high_pct": -12.68,
    "period_high": 148.25,
    "price_targets": {
      "bear": 98.15,
      "fair": 131.1,
      "bull": 170.49,
      "bear_return_pct": -24.2,
      "fair_return_pct": 1.3,
      "bull_return_pct": 31.7,
      "method": "street_targets ⨯ chart_floors",
      "street": {
        "target_low": 120,
        "target_mean": 143.5,
        "target_high": 154,
        "analyst_count": 4
      }
    },
    "generated_at": "2026-06-24T07:36:44.206Z"
  }
}